Forecast for 2009

It is pleasant to spend a little Nostradamus, and then after a few months to say ' well, I told you so! ' . So what is this straitjacket my liking. But still will treat all words with the appropriate sense of humor and cynicism.

1) ruble.
Actually, everything has already happened. As monopolists body movements, at once raised the price of energy, services, etc. products by 25%. It was such an interesting corridor waiting for us with you. T. e. command is given, the ruble prosyadet. Why? . There is another reason, but it later.

2) Dismissal.
layoffs continue. And you do not just hear about them. And probably even see a handful of laid-off, knocking helmets or rasp, or whatever else they have as tools. It's a shame, pity, even scary. But across the country - is nothing. Even if the number of laid off will rise to 3 million. (with a. 5 million. ) Is still garbage. I am much more concerned about the fate of small business.

3) Small Business. ...
Actually, it is no secret that the greatest number of people we have employed in the civil service, and the second number - a small business. These are the cakes with kittens here: despite the fact that small business makes around 15-20 % of GDP, it employs approximately 60-70 % of the total number of workers are not on civil service. The first commandment and request for a small business ' Do not interrupt! ... But its low profitability, liquidity ghostly small - often all the money in circulation. And all the development is carried out through private investment - to get a loan shop fucking difficult and expensive, but uses up to take in up to 50 thousand. bucks was possible. We can not. The entrance ticket up. Some of the enterprises will be forced to because of lower demand skukozhitsya. And the most disenfranchised worker just running a small business. Pressed as a mass of law simply can not be. A walk to protest at the gate together with the guard Ivanovitch no employee will not. So what if the situation with an increase in the liquidity of small businesses can not be solved, it will fall out thousands and thousands, if not previously had a very promising career in terms of jobs, but with a stable income.

4) Dollar.
Dollar stsuko, sly currency. Anything not secured, but the international. Many, predicting the collapse of the U.S. do not realize that the accumulation of dozens of stores in the U.S. treasury bonds bonds, r. e. essentially in dollars. And dropping those candy wrappers, it's just their savings profukannyh. And you thought the stabilization fund is kept in rubles? . For the sake of stability. On the other hand, a lot depends on Obama's policy. If the printing press will continue to rotate at the same rate, any predictions are meaningless - to predict the dollar will be easier with the help of dice. If the U.S. can suddenly uzhatsya in his bid for world domination, it is possible to retain and. Here is another fact feature is. If proschelkat time and allow other states and the chance to transfer their holdings to another currency - and then only option until the euro, the balance will be disrupted and the dollar falls. So if you want to forecast, go to the casino. I put a slight drop in the dollar against the ruble at the end of the year and a significant relative to the euro.

5) We will be worse off?.
We re going to learn to live by means of. Unlike America, we lived on credit is not so long, but generously. If there are loans - an integral part of life, we have - the gift of heaven, which was made to celebrate perhaps the amount of the loan. It was bought by a lot of unnecessary garbage and nonsense. Now we have to do without it. Recreation - in Sochi or in the local river, the TV - with a CRT, the car - Lada seventh model. Exaggerating, but something like that. Many have already started. Someone buys barley and salt, some sharpening a shovel to give someone pleasure reviewing policy. But a change of lifestyle will take a year, not less.

6) New hosts of living.
And without them? . They are those who find themselves in the wake of the crisis has. Saw leaflet pawnshop - banks are smoking - 24 % per annum, pawn shops are already taking deposits (such as a license for such activities is needed? ). Crisis money is always the sweetest. This is a long-forgotten profits of 200%, it is easy money from the government orders, it is sweet kickbacks, it is much more. And someone will get it all and put it in his pocket. And will spend there, where his leg had not stepped. Easy come - easy and leaves. You have not seen these people? .

7) fucking canceled.
Many are already covered by a sheet and look for the direction of the cemetery. Not too early right? . Nature abhors a vacuum. May not be all crappy at all. Where the crappy one, it will be sweet to another. So most likely wait a few months of turmoil, and then through the broken pavement helmets will make their way new shoots. Will work, and money. Remember: those who survived the turmoil mid-80s and the crisis of '98, that has nothing to fear. The economy, as well as the nature of cyclical.

8), draining money from the population will continue.
One of the key moments in the economic recovery is the financial bleeding of the population. This is for you personally to 140 million. a lot of bucks, and for Russia - a buck on the nose. How many of them sewn into socks, and how much was the moment to pull out of the banks, as well as obtained a loan and not returned until now? . The easiest way is to block a freebie (loans, unjustified high salaries and bonuses ), to increase the cost of living (food, housing, transport), discount savings ( national currency to drop a course ). Not too difficult to calculate how much should be pressed so the population to scrape most of the stocks. The standard of living drops an ordinary man himself will swap the remains of goods for money to save anything, take a breath before death. Actually, the process goes. Prices have risen, the rate increased, a freebie blocked. However, as we see - traffic jams on the streets, crowded cafes, etc. Dr.. The money is there - they spend. So the first sign of ending the crisis - a collapse of the entertainment industry, m. e. stupid is no money to go to the movies, for example.

9) The border is closed.
The process will continue. No need to entertain the thought that the increase in fees and other defensive measures related only to the crisis. The world is globalizing, and it's bad for the existing conditions in the country. Always easier to manage Singapore and Brunei, the gut than a few million. square. m. You can not reduce the area, you can reduce the number of factors influence. Huyak, you can now calculate the growth of automobile industry only in terms of internal performance. Huyak, the outer almost inaccessible luxury tourism. Huyak, total control over air carriers, and thus secured orders Sukhoi Design Bureau and did not have to rack their brains, how to upload so expensive project. There are no complaints - just really easier to manage. The problem is - it is distorted on the ground of excessive zeal of service. And we have to nahlebaemsya.

10) Monopoly.
And all. Medium will not. Wait dozhrut past and leaving only state-owned companies, but the major types of private and small. Everyone else, or fucking, or under the wing of the first two listed. What does this mean? . This is when the price of January 1, huyak, and 25%. This is where the conflict seems to be between Gazprom and naftagazom and go to negotiate the vice- premiers, and their arrangement no relation to the business does not have. This is when you come into the store, and a brand of margarine, and all the cash piled up to the counter only to its. What are the advantages? . When there is no sensible management, and experience has shown that it is not fucking, it is easier to take everything in one hand and just draw on paper, and who should do what. And pass this paper in the form of a sheet of execution.

11) Freedom of speech.
not stsyte. Everything will be okay. In fact, everything is very simple. And manage a word in two ways: when a word is only one, because the right, and when words are many, but the mass fraction of the same prevail over opposition. Second - it kakby democratic press and all that. Therefore, we can tryndet anything you want, anyway no matter what it does not affect. D. The Inhabited Island - towers are already in all countries, we are just past who have built their. Now you just relax and listen to.

12) Cho to do?.
That's really the question as a question. The unequivocal answer is no. I'll tell you how to make himself. First - no one to believe, therefore, can not keep the money. We have a liquidity buffer for 2 months - the rest of the case. For those who do not have a business - find someone else. Next question of trust. If unsuccessful, then you just proebete savings faster than they burn up in the bank or in stocks. If successful - then at least save them. Unwanted goods can not buy. Why not? . Why do you need for 42-inch TV set, if only to watch it at night? . An example of stupid, but indicative. The faster your money will go, the more independent they will be on the current conditions. Mr. read. Kiyosaki. Money invested in real estate, but with its subsequent lease, much more interesting and promising investments than mortgages bondage. This, of course, utopia for Russia, but even we have a number of interesting places to invest and multiply, and not to lose.

The main problem of the Russian mentality associated with permanent loss of expectation. How we live, so many think they do not multiply, and save. Because we do not want to work, and strive to be closer to the trough and grab and run off while the lid is not ebnulo, and then settled down and save. It's time to change, ladies and gentlemen. It's time to. Think not about how many in your pocket, and how much you lost on that time out of his pocket the money is not pulled out and put.

13) Friday the 13th.
three times.

14) We have to work.
Ah, shit, asshole! .
That's screaming, those who are too lazy to work. Responsibly declare, I am more than happy with our country. I 'm used to wake up and do not watch the news. I was quite enough, and a channel one site to make gestures in the business. I want us to safely survived the instability and then everything was stable. Let not as before, but from day to day. When I wake up in the morning and realize that ass - it's ass. But when the ass every day, this is the norm. Perhaps there is to throw shoes at me and say that guy, but do not want to live in normal conditions. And here I'll get all this in white and I say that is normal - is when you wake up and nothing has changed. The man stsuko flexible mechanism to get used to the whole. And each has its own rules. Do not like it, uebyvayte where like. Never heard of one who knows how to work, complaining that no work or money is not enough.

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Read the latest posts by Fritz Morgen. Ready to rehabilitate. At least for the code of the weak, because only two people wanted to shit on zhezheshechku - a person A. A. and F. M. For that and respect them.

Saw pieces of an interview with O. B. about About. About. Paphos, shit. On the other hand, I fully agree that the Russian audience fucking Titanic suffered by 4:00, but, stsuko, dear island can not. Dual office on the same budget - always double cash.

Gas to fuck him so captivated ether. And all that oil- oil. But this a separate post. Many will not agree. But my general FSUs.

tV stations have agreed to. More than one can not simultaneously watch. The priority at first. More dough - better than the premiere. Second place at the CTC - the good old sitcoms. The rest - a complete anal. TNT does not show. Although most migrated from the gums at first - then there is a crisis.

Saw the movie SLF -2. Garik apologized for SLF. I ohuel. Just for this alone should go to the movies. Not that the movie pozyrit. Just feel sorry for Garik. I think that movie and this time full of guano, but that it is in Russian show business - it's cool.

Judging by the lights of NY won a victory in the race, two men. Not in the sense of men, and husbands diva. Galkin and Phil lit up everywhere. It was hard to click and they are not seen. Strange, but Respect.

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All the drunk, the one I 'm writing, so that the guards will not be.